Germany, one of the most important cigar markets in the world, could very quickly lose that status under a new tax proposal.
The German government is working through a new tax structure for tobacco products. While it was initially believed to be a moderate increase, the Bundesverband der Zigarrenindustrie (BdZ)—the German cigar manufacturers’ association—is now warning of a 14-fold increase to the current ad valorem tax.
Currently, there are three different tobacco-specific taxes for cigars and cigarillos sold in Germany:
- Specific Duty: 1.4 cents per item
- Ad Valorem: 1.47 percent of the retail price
- Minimum Tax (Excluding VAT): 7.504 cents
The BdZ has warned that the Ministry of Finance is set to propose substantial increases to help finance the German health insurance system.
Those expected changes are as follows:
|
Year |
Specific Duty |
Ad Valorem |
Minimum Tax (Excluding VAT) |
|
Current |
1.4 cents |
1.47 percent |
7.504 cents |
|
2027 |
0.84 cents |
21.05 percent |
8.2 cents |
|
2028 |
0.93 cents |
21.05 percent |
9.03 cents |
|
2029 |
1.02 cents |
21.05 percent |
9.93 cents |
|
2030 |
1.12 cents |
21.05 percent |
10.92 cents |
The BdZ has indicated that a previous draft suggested a change to the Ad Valorem tax rate to just 3.83 percent.
Because the Ad Valorem rate is a percentage tax on the retail price, it is incredibly impactful, especially if retailers and distributors wish to keep their current margins.
In a letter sent to clients, Martin Schuster of Schuster Cigars—an importer and domestic manufacturer of cigars—gave an example of a cigar that currently retails for €20. He warns that the cigar’s price would likely increase to at least €30 to protect those margins. The taxes would go from 31 cents to €6.33, roughly 20x what they currently are.
“For a family business like ours — cigar makers in Bünde since 1909, now in the fourth generation — this proposal is nothing less than existential,” said Schuster in a statement to halfwheel. “Raising the value-based duty on cigars and cigarillos from 1.47 percent to 21.05 percent is an increase of more than 1,300 percent — there is no comparable precedent in the history of Germany’s post-war economy. A burden of this scale doesn’t regulate our product; it effectively bans it. The ones who would pay the price are the Mittelstand — the small, mostly family-run manufacturers and the specialist tobacconists who have carried this craft for generations, together with the jobs that depend on it. A hand-rolled cigar is a traditional craft product, enjoyed in moderation; treating it like a mass-market cigarette would erase a culture and a livelihood that took more than a century to build. Together with our association, we are asking for these plans to be stopped.”
The BdZ and others are raising alarm bells about how impactful this would be, which would likely spill over into other European countries. Because of its population size, attitudes towards smoking, established industry, and low taxes, Germany serves as the lynchpin for many non-Cuban cigar companies that do business in Europe. InterTabac, the main international cigar trade show, is held in northwest Germany each fall, attracting the majority of the 50 largest cigar companies in the U.S.
If the tax increase were to go into effect, the downstream effects would likely be severe as the German cigar market, already struggling due to the country’s broader economic issues, would likely shrink due to both higher prices for local consumers and an exodus of international business on both the supplier and buying side.
As of now, the proposal still must formally be introduced, which the BdZ expects to happen in September, the same month as InterTabac 2026. From there, it will need to be debated and voted on.
The BdZ has characterized the impact of the proposal as an effective prohibition of cigars and is strongly opposed to it. The organization and its members are expected to meet with members of the Bundestag, Germany’s legislative body, as well as with key political parties.
It is also expected to submit an alternative tax structure of its own.
Cigars are just one part of the tax package proposed by Lars Klingbeil, the finance minister. Cigarettes—estimated to retail for €7.33 per pack of 20—could increase to €11.78 per pack by 2030. Similar to the cigar tax proposal, this increase is substantially more than the one that was being discussed by the government earlier in the month.
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Bundesverband der Zigarrenindustrie
Germany
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